Supporters of the Tyneside club are progressively seeing their manager's side as a fickle companion. On their day, they can be the ultimate entertainers, unleashing high-octane displays. Yet, on other occasions, key individuals like Sandro Tonali and others completely fail to appear.
Compounding these problems is a second-half strategy suffused by a distinct tendency of panic. Ahead of their Boxing Day to Old Trafford, the numbers reveal a sobering tale: they have let slip 13 precious Premier League points from winning situations this season and are without a shutout in 10 consecutive games across all competitions. Earning a win at Old Trafford would represent only their second league triumph on the road this season.
Conversely, defeat has been tasted once in their previous 6 Premier League fixtures, and despite occupying a seemingly lowly 11th place, they are a only 6 points away from the highly-prized Champions League places. Add in an impending two-legged Carabao Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a strong chance of moving on to the Champions League knockout phase, and it is simpler to see the manager's measured hope.
“We don't just have issues,” said the club's boss. “There are positives as well. The perspective here is decidedly half full right now. I understand others might have a opposing view, but my belief is we are getting better.”
The challenge remains: can this squad match – or even surpass – the heights of the previous campaign's cup glory and European-qualifying finish? Juggling a hectic schedule hinders.
The resulting heavy-leggedness may explain the failure to uphold a stellar opening 45-minute performance against Chelsea, ultimately squandering a two-goal lead to draw the game. Similarly, it could be the reason for a subdued performance in a damaging defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the team seemed lethargic just a short time after a tough Champions League excursion.
Although coaching is clearly the manager's specialty, the relentless grind of two games a week matches has radically reduced crucial coaching time. This slows the team's tactical evolution to operating with new striker their number nine leading the line, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While extremely gifted, the German forward does not possess the equivalent searing breakaway speed or relentless defensive work rate.
In fact, the team's signature pressing game has at times failed. Injuries to key cog the Brazilian midfielder have been a factor, while big-money signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have struggled settling since their substantial transfers.
While a change to a three-man defense might theoretically assist the cause, a full-blown backline injury list renders that unlikely. Important defenders will be unavailable for the upcoming key fixtures, challenging the squad's depth.
When playing at their energetic best, they look virtually unstoppable. The issue is maintaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The go-to alternative approach of sitting back into a passive defensive shape has at times proven self-destructive.
“The Chelsea game descended into anarchic at two-all,” admitted the manager. “However the intention was trying to win. We always try to secure the three points.”
What appears called for is a pragmatic solution – with superior possession control, a engine room adept of controlling the pace, and a realistic willingness to sometimes settle for a draw. Yet, a ambition to challenge on all competitions is stretching limited player numbers to their limit.
It may seem sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the domestic cups earlier could have alleviated the present fixture congestion. With critical European and Premier League games on the horizon, the need to strategically choose focus areas is becoming increasingly apparent.
Eddie Howe recognized the scale of the journey remaining. “Being involved a club of this size, the expectations are big. Every moment's crucial. We have work to do in the league. We are in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we want to progress in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have lots of work to do to transform into the consistently successful team we aspire to be. Our capacity to put sequences of victories has eluded us this season.
“The task is to hit that standard we know we're capable of. My feeling is that the assurance to achieve it is growing. But nowadays we have to prove it. It's not all doom and gloom currently, but the coming period will shape much.”
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